The first 2024 Presidential Debate has raised questions about Joe Biden's future in the race. After a shaky performance, more people are betting on Biden dropping out.
On Thursday, Biden and Trump faced off in a 90-minute debate on CNN. Biden had trouble speaking clearly, sometimes murmuring or saying things that didn't make sense. Even Trump pointed out that he couldn't understand Biden's words.
"I really don't know what he said at the end of that sentence. I don't think he knows either," Trump commented after one of Biden's confusing answers.
Biden's difficulties were clear to everyone. Even usually supportive news channels, such as CNN and MSNBC, expressed worries. CNN's John King mentioned there's a "lot of worry and strong concern in the Democratic Party" after the debate. He also said some are considering asking Biden to resign.
After the debate, more people started betting that Biden might leave the race. On a website called Polymarket, the odds of Biden dropping out shot up from 19% to 39% in less than 12 hours. That's more than doubled!
Another betting site, Predictit.org, showed a similar trend. Before the debate, they thought there was just a 12% chance Biden would quit. Now it's up to 20%.
These betting markets don't decide what will happen, but they show what people think might happen based on recent events.
The debate seemed to hurt Biden's chances of winning the election. On Polymarket, Trump's odds of winning shot up to 69%, while Biden's dropped to 28%. This doesn't guarantee Biden will lose, but it shows many people are concerned about his ability to lead for another four years. His debate performance made these worries worse.
Now, the Democratic Party faces a tough choice. Should they stick with Biden or find someone else to run against Trump? It's a big decision, especially with the election coming up soon.
We'll have to wait and see what happens in the next few weeks. Will Biden's team help him perform better in upcoming debates? Will the Democratic Party start considering other candidates?
Or will this all fade away as people shift their focus to other issues? One thing is certain: the path to the 2024 election just got a lot more interesting. Stay tuned to the news for updates as this story unfolds.
Remember, betting odds and predictions can change quickly. They give us a glimpse into what many people are thinking now, but they don't guarantee what will happen.
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