Speculation over Gary Gensler's possible resignation as SEC chair has stirred optimism within the crypto community regarding XRP's price outlook.
The XRP price recently surged past the $0.80 mark, reaching its highest level since July. This significant movement marks a breakout from a long-standing symmetrical triangle pattern that had been in play since 2021, as seen on the weekly chart.
The daily chart reveals that XRP's price rally has turned parabolic. This sharp upward trend began after XRP broke out of a descending wedge pattern, pushing the price above the $0.63 resistance level that had held firm since July. This breakout set the stage for a rapid ascent.
Looking ahead, XRP faces major resistance at $1.00, a psychological barrier, and at $1.96, which was its peak in April 2021. On the downside, potential support levels are around $0.65 and $0.50, indicating that the market could be gearing up for an impressive rally, possibly pushing XRP above $1 before the end of 2024.
XRP’s recent upward momentum has been accompanied by a notable spike in Open Interest, which currently stands at approximately $1.13 billion. This increase suggests rising market speculation and leveraged trading, contributing to the current bullish trend.
Historical Fluctuations in XRP’s NVT Ratio
XRP’s Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio has experienced notable changes over the past few years. From 2020 through early 2021, the NVT ratio hovered between 200 and 600, indicating a relatively balanced market environment.
During the period from mid-2021 to early 2022, the NVT ratio soared past 1,000. This spike pointed to phases of overvaluation largely fueled by market speculation, suggesting that XRP's price was potentially outpacing its actual on-chain activity.
Most recently, XRP’s NVT ratio climbed to approximately 1,800, marking one of the highest levels recorded. This significant jump hints at a potential disconnect between the cryptocurrency’s market cap and the volume of on-chain transactions, signaling possible overvaluation in the current market.